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San Giovanni vs Cailungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cecconi G.
Assist: De Paoli F.
24' Event
Bua A.
Assist: Cecconi G.
52' Event
Costa E.
Assist: Bua A.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between San Giovanni and Cailungo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cailungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
San Giovanni
15%
Draws
42%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Giovanni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • San Giovanni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors San Giovanni here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 16%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni Cailungo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Cailungo
0:3
Feb 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Cailungo
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs San Giovanni
1:3
Feb 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs San Giovanni
0:3
Oct 27, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Cailungo
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cailungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecconi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bua A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 31 / 100
Cailungo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cailungo conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cailungo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: San Giovanni scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS Cailungo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Cailungo

(Away)
09 Oct
Cailungo
1 : 2
AC Libertas
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)