Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs La Fiorita

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Olcese E.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Vitaioli M.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between San Giovanni and La Fiorita finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Fiorita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
San Giovanni
33%
Draws
40%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: La Fiorita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Giovanni haven't matched La Fiorita's recent run of results.
  • Model gives La Fiorita a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors La Fiorita here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 11%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni La Fiorita
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.83 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.83 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs La Fiorita
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitaioli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 27 / 100
La Fiorita 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

La Fiorita lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: San Giovanni scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS La Fiorita
0.83 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
26 Apr
Tre Penne
4 : 0
San Giovanni
18 Apr
San Giovanni
0 : 2
SP Domagnano
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
07 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 0
San Giovanni
21 Mar
San Giovanni
2 : 0
SC Faetano
Page 1 of 6

La Fiorita

(Away)
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2
UNA Strassen
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0
La Fiorita
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1
Vardar
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
16 May
Virtus
2 : 1
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)