Sport Picks
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zanni M.
Assist: D'Angeli E.
43'
43'
Zanni M.
Assist: D'Angeli E.
77'
77'
Arlotti D.
AI Match Summary
San Giovanni in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Giovanni.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Giovanni lately — more wins on the board than SS Pennarossa.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 14%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Giovanni | SS Pennarossa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs San Giovanni
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs San Giovanni
0:5
Apr 6, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Giovanni Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanni M.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
SS Pennarossa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Giovanni 31 / 100
SS Pennarossa 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Giovanni SS Pennarossa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Defensive concern: SS Pennarossa conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Difficult form: SS Pennarossa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
San Giovanni's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
San Giovanni VS SS Pennarossa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Giovanni
(Home) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
18 Apr
San Giovanni
0 : 2 SP Domagnano
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
Page 1 of 3
SS Pennarossa
(Away) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
12 Apr
SP Cosmos
0 : 1 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
