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San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
van Nek J.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between San Giovanni and Tre Fiori finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Fiori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
San Giovanni
15%
Draws
68%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Tre Fiori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tre Fiori a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tre Fiori here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 14%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni Tre Fiori
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 8 22
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.9 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Jan 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
4:0
May 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
1:1
May 10, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer van Nek J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 10 / 100
Tre Fiori 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

San Giovanni's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tre Fiori let in goals in 46% of their last 35 matches.

San Giovanni has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Giovanni VS Tre Fiori
0.57 Goals Scored 1
2.14 Goals Conceded 2.63
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Giovanni

(Home)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
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Tre Fiori

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4
Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)