Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Giovanni play Tre Fiori in the Campionato Sammarinese. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Giovanni averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Tre Fiori averaged 2 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. In past meetings, San Giovanni won 1, Tre Fiori won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 21, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for San Giovanni and 1.85 for Tre Fiori. This points to a Tre Fiori double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
San Giovanni
25%
Draws
50%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Tre Fiori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • San Giovanni picked up more points recently compared to Tre Fiori.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.85 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Giovanni Tre Fiori
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.9 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Sep 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
4:0
May 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
1:1
May 10, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Fiori
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs San Giovanni
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Sirri A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benedettini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Giovanni 25 / 100
Tre Fiori 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Giovanni Tre Fiori

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tre Fiori or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Giovanni attacking → ← attacking Tre Fiori

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giovanni scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Tre Fiori let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

San Giovanni went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tre Fiori lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 61
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2