Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Zanni M.
Assist: Filippi C.
38'
38'
Casadio P.
Assist: Ceccaroli L.
43'
43'
Loiodice S.
AI Match Summary
Tre Penne in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tre Penne lately — more wins on the board than San Giovanni.
- Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Penne have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Giovanni | Tre Penne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
2:3
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni
4:0
Feb 10, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs San Giovanni
3:2
Nov 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Tre Penne
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Giovanni Compare
Top Goalscorer Zanni M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dorsi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Casadio P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Loiodice S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Giovanni 10 / 100
Tre Penne 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Giovanni Tre Penne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
San Giovanni scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Tre Penne has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
San Giovanni has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Giovanni VS Tre Penne
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
San Giovanni
(Home) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
18 Apr
San Giovanni
0 : 2 SP Domagnano
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
Page 1 of 3
Tre Penne
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Tre Penne | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Virtus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 4 | Tre Fiori | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 5 | SP Cosmos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 7 | La Fiorita | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 9 | Fiorentino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 11 | Cailungo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 13 | San Giovanni | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
| 14 | SS Pennarossa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:16 | 3 |
| 15 | San Marino Academy U22 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 16 | SC Faetano | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
