Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Corinti A.
75'
75'
Benincasa S.
Assist: Ciacci E.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between San Giovanni and Virtus finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Virtus come out ahead of San Giovanni on wins alone.
- 69% — that's where the model lands on Virtus taking it.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Giovanni | Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Virtus
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Giovanni
2:0
Jan 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Virtus
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Giovanni
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs San Giovanni
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Giovanni Compare
Top Goalscorer Corinti A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48
Virtus Compare
Top Goalscorer Benincasa S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Giovanni 10 / 100
Virtus 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Giovanni Virtus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
San Giovanni's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Virtus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 35 matches.
San Giovanni has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Giovanni VS Virtus
0.67 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Giovanni
(Home) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
18 Apr
San Giovanni
0 : 2 SP Domagnano
11 Apr
San Giovanni
1 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
Page 1 of 3
Virtus
(Away) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
09 Jul
Dila Gori
3 : 1 Virtus
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1 Virtus
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
