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San Gwann vs Pembroke

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
San Gwann
22%
Draws
60%
Pembroke
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pembroke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pembroke lately — more wins on the board than San Gwann.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Pembroke taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 16%
Pembroke Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Gwann Pembroke
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2022 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Pembroke
2:2
Dec 12, 2021 Challenge League
Pembroke vs San Gwann
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Pembroke
0:0
Nov 27, 2020 Challenge League
Pembroke vs San Gwann
3:1
Apr 14, 2019 Challenge League
San Gwann vs Pembroke
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Gwann 19 / 100
Pembroke 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Gwann Pembroke

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Gwann scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Pembroke has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

San Gwann went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Gwann VS Pembroke
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pembroke20146049:1648
2Marsaxlokk20132540:2241
3Zejtun20124444:2440
4Naxxar Lions20121737:2237
5Melita20103728:2233
6San Gwann2086638:2230
7Lija2084839:3728
8Mqabba FC20551029:4120
9Vittoriosa20511423:6116
10Rabat Ajax20341320:4213
11St. George's FC20121713:515
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zebbug20143346:1545
2Pieta20124439:1940
3Tarxien20108245:2438
4Marsa20105535:2233
5Fgura2094735:2731
6St. Andrews2084836:3028
7Qrendi20731030:3724
8Swieqi2059621:2924
9Senglea20431324:5015
10Mgarr20351211:3614
11Luqa2024149:4210