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San Gwann vs St. Venera Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with San Gwann advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
San Gwann
15%
Draws
20%
St. Venera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Gwann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Gwann come out ahead of St. Venera on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Gwann a 65% chance of winning this.
  • San Gwann have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor San Gwann, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
San Gwann Clean Sheet 16%
St. Venera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Gwann St. Venera
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 0
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2011 FA Trophy
San Gwann vs St. Venera
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Gwann 84 / 100
St. Venera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Gwann St. Venera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Gwann Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Venera has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

San Gwann found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

San Gwann has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Gwann VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Gwann

(Home)
23 Apr
Swieqi
2 : 0
San Gwann
15 Apr
Mqabba FC
1 : 3
San Gwann
08 Apr
San Gwann
2 : 1
Mtarfa
01 Apr
Marsa
1 : 2
San Gwann
11 Mar
San Gwann
1 : 1
Marsaskala FC
Page 1 of 7

St. Venera

(Away)
06 Sept
Xaghra
2 : 0
St. Venera
27 Oct
St. Venera
0 : 3
Pembroke
21 Oct
St. Venera
1 : 2
Kalkara
09 Sept
Xbiex
1 : 4
St. Venera
11 Sept
St. Venera
0 : 3
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Qormi -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Gzira 1
Siggiewi 1
Xghajra 0
Melita 0
Mellieha 1
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
San Gwann 2
Tarxien -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 1
Pieta 5
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Fgura 2
Msida 3
Senglea 6
Zebbug 0
Mdina 1
Xewkija 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zabbar 1
Marsaskala FC 0
TBD -
Valletta -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Gudja 1
Pembroke 2
Kirkop 3
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Rabat Ajax 3
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Mgarr 0
Zejtun 3
Luqa 3
Zurrieq 2
TBD -
Floriana -
St. George's FC 5
Mtarfa 0
Sannat Lions 1
Gharghur 2
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Nadur 1
St. Andrews 2
Lija 3
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 3
Dingli Swallows 5
Qrendi 1
TBD -
Hamrun -
1/16-finals
Qormi 1
Gzira 0
Siggiewi 0
Mellieha 1
Marsaxlokk 5
San Gwann 3
Tarxien 0
Pieta 3
Mosta FC 1
Msida 0
Senglea 0
Xewkija 3
Sliema 4
Mqabba FC 2
Zabbar 0
Valletta 2
Hibernians 5
Pembroke 3
Kirkop 0
Rabat Ajax 3
Balzan FC 2
Zejtun 1
Luqa 1
Floriana 6
St. George's FC 2
Gharghur 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Lija 6
Birkirkara 4
Vittoriosa 0
Dingli Swallows 1
Hamrun 3
1/8-finals
Qormi 5
Mellieha 0
Marsaxlokk 1
Pieta 5
Mosta FC 3
Xewkija 1
Sliema 2
Valletta 5
Hibernians 5
Rabat Ajax 0
Balzan FC 0
Floriana 1
St. George's FC 2
Lija 1
Birkirkara 2
Hamrun 3
Quarter-finals
Qormi 1
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Hibernians 1
Floriana 0
St. George's FC 1
Hamrun 3
Semi-finals
Qormi 4
Valletta 3
Hibernians 2
Hamrun 1
Final
Qormi 1
Hibernians 3