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Stadium Background

San Ignacio vs Anorga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Ormazabal I.
34' Event
Ormazabal I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between San Ignacio and Anorga finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Ignacio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
San Ignacio
15%
Draws
37%
Anorga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on San Ignacio taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and San Ignacio have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Anorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Anorga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Anorga
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs San Ignacio
0:2
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Anorga
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anorga vs San Ignacio
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormazabal I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Anorga Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 77 / 100
Anorga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Anorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Ignacio scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Anorga let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Anorga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
15 Aug
CDFC La Calzada
1 : 4
San Ignacio
09 May
Touring KE
1 : 2
San Ignacio
03 May
San Ignacio
0 : 1
Alaves C
25 Apr
Aurrera de Vitoria
0 : 1
San Ignacio
19 Apr
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

Anorga

(Away)
09 May
Anorga
1 : 2
Real Sociedad C
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
26 Apr
Anorga
2 : 2
Lagun Onak
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
Anorga
4 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)