Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ormazabal I.
(Penalty)
38' Event
Martinez Arribas J.
80'
Martinez Arribas J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between San Ignacio and Aurrera de Vitoria finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Ignacio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
San Ignacio
28%
Draws
22%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Ignacio a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors San Ignacio here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 68%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
3:1
Jan 28, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs San Ignacio
0:1
Sep 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormazabal I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galceran A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Aurrera de Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Arribas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 59 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Aurrera de Vitoria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Ignacio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Aurrera de Vitoria has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Ignacio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Aurrera de Vitoria
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugalete34246470:2978
2Leioa34187950:3461
3Derio341771054:4058
4Lagun Onak341761154:3457
5Touring KE34169947:3557
6Real Sociedad C341741348:3955
7San Ignacio341671137:2755
8Aurrera de Vitoria341661242:4154
9Alaves C341581157:4053
10UD Aretxabaleta341361556:6145
11SCD Durango3411111235:3644
12Santurtzi349121332:4539
13Eibar C34991644:5336
14Pasaia34991626:4636
15Anorga341141937:5934
16Zamudio34961942:5933
17Zarautz KE34862030:6030
18SD Deusto34672126:4925