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San Ignacio vs Pasaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Barneto H.
47' Event
Larranaga L.
67'
Osamudiamen F. O.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between San Ignacio and Pasaia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pasaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
San Ignacio
30%
Draws
47%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pasaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • San Ignacio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 20%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Pasaia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Pasaia
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Pasaia
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs San Ignacio
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs San Ignacio
0:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Pasaia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Ignacio Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Pasaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Barneto H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larranaga L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 31 / 100
Pasaia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Ignacio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: San Ignacio remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS Pasaia
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 6

Pasaia

(Away)
03 Oct
Pasaia
1 : 0
Santurtzi
27 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 2
Pasaia
19 Sept
Pasaia
3 : 2
Real Sociedad C
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)