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San Ignacio vs Tolosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between San Ignacio and Tolosa finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Ignacio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
San Ignacio
30%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Ignacio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Ignacio come out ahead of Tolosa on wins alone.
  • San Ignacio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and San Ignacio have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
San Ignacio Clean Sheet 20%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Ignacio Tolosa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.55 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Tolosa
3:1
Nov 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs San Ignacio
2:1
Feb 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs San Ignacio
0:2
Sep 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Ignacio vs Tolosa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Ignacio 85 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Ignacio Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Ignacio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Tolosa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

San Ignacio found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

San Ignacio VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Ignacio

(Home)
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1
Derio
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
29 Aug
San Ignacio
3 : 3
Leioa
26 Aug
Oyonesa
1 : 4
San Ignacio
Page 1 of 7

Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)