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San Javier vs Santa Cruz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
El Hamli S.
34' Event
Dieguito
52' Event
Lopez I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between San Javier and Santa Cruz finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Javier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
San Javier
25%
Draws
28%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: San Javier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Javier a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
San Javier Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Javier Santa Cruz
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 0 14
Goals Scored 2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
San Javier vs Santa Cruz
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Javier Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hamli S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguito
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorente A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Javier 68 / 100
Santa Cruz 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Javier Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Javier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Javier scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Santa Cruz let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

San Javier has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Javier VS Santa Cruz
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Javier

(Home)
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz

Santa Cruz

(Away)
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
02 May
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Real Murcia B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 San Javier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Bullas Deportivo 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
4 Alcantarilla 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
5 CA Pulpileno 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
6 UD Los Garres 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 Bala Azul 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 UCAM Murcia B 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
9 Molinense 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
10 Santa Cruz 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Club Olimpico de Totana 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
12 Minerva 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
13 Cotillas CD 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
14 Aguilas FC B 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
16 Mazarron FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
17 Deportivo Maritimo 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
18 CD Algar 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)