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San Javier vs UD Los Garres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Munoz D.

AI Match Summary

San Javier in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Javier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
San Javier
35%
Draws
20%
UD Los Garres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Javier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • San Javier average 1.6 goals a game right now, well clear of UD Los Garres's 0.68.
  • San Javier are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
San Javier Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Garres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Javier UD Los Garres
Matches Played 5 28
Wins 3 3
Draws 2 5
Losses 0 20
Goals Scored 1.6 0.68
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 0.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
San Javier vs UD Los Garres
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Javier Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

UD Los Garres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Javier 58 / 100
UD Los Garres 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Javier UD Los Garres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Javier Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Javier scored in 100% of their last 5 games.

UD Los Garres let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

San Javier went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Javier VS UD Los Garres
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Javier

(Home)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz

UD Los Garres

(Away)
04 Oct
San Javier
1 : 0
UD Los Garres
27 Sept
UD Los Garres
0 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
06 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)