Sport Picks
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
USA
MLS Next Pro PayPal Park, San Jose, CA 
Match Events
15'
15'
de Flores S.
28'
28'
Rajagopal R.
43'
43'
Cano A.
Assist: Mendoza E.
AI Match Summary
The MLS Next Pro game between San Jose Earthquakes II and Minnesota United 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Earthquakes II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- San Jose Earthquakes II's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Minnesota United 2 have produced (2).
- 90% — that's where the model lands on San Jose Earthquakes II taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 13%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Jose Earthquakes II | Minnesota United 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
1:0
Sep 1, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
1:0
Jul 23, 2025 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
3:2
Aug 9, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Minnesota United 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II
2:1
Sep 4, 2023 MLS Next Pro
San Jose Earthquakes II vs Minnesota United 2
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Jose Earthquakes II Compare
Top Goalscorer Cano A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Minnesota United 2 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Jose Earthquakes II 84 / 100
Minnesota United 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Jose Earthquakes II Minnesota United 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Jose Earthquakes II scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Minnesota United 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Minnesota United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Jose Earthquakes II VS Minnesota United 2
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
San Jose Earthquakes II
(Home) 19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
27 Jun
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes II
18 Jun
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
3 : 2 San Jose Earthquakes II
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 North Texas
13 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Tacoma Defiance
08 Jul
San Jose Earthquakes II
6 : 1 Sporting Kansas City II
08 Jun
San Jose Earthquakes II
3 : 0 Real Monarchs
18 May
San Jose Earthquakes II
0 : 1 Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 4
Minnesota United 2
(Away) 20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0 Minnesota United 2
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0 Minnesota United 2
29 Jun
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2 Tacoma Defiance
25 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 0 Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 0 Minnesota United 2
13 Jul
Austin FC II
2 : 3 Minnesota United 2
05 Jul
Houston Dynamo 2
4 : 0 Minnesota United 2
25 Jun
Los Angeles FC 2
1 : 0 Minnesota United 2
14 May
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1 Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 4 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 5 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 7 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 2 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 3 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 4 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 7 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 8 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 5 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 7 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 4 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 5 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 6 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew 2 | 19 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 35:29 | 39 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 44:27 | 37 |
| 3 | New England Revolution II | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Orlando City B | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 40:33 | 35 |
| 5 | Chattanooga | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 35:30 | 34 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 40:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Atlanta United 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38:28 | 30 |
| 8 | CT United FC | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:32 | 28 |
| 9 | New York City II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 27:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire II | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 29:27 | 27 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 30:36 | 25 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 31:35 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 26:32 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati 2 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Inter Miami II | 17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14:45 | 5 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 18 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 40:16 | 43 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 39:15 | 40 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 25:23 | 37 |
| 4 | Ventura County | 19 | 11 | 0 | 8 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Minnesota United 2 | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28:32 | 29 |
| 6 | St. Louis City 2 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 30:32 | 29 |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC 2 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 28:30 | 29 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes II | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 37:20 | 28 |
| 9 | Tacoma Defiance | 19 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 23:26 | 27 |
| 10 | Real Monarchs | 19 | 10 | 0 | 9 | 31:35 | 26 |
| 11 | North Texas | 17 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 27:21 | 25 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 25:44 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 24:50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 17:37 | 12 |
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)