Sport Picks

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA

Colorado Rapids

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes host Colorado Rapids in the MLS. This one's hard to separate. Colorado Rapids have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, San Jose Earthquakes have won 2 to Colorado Rapids's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward San Jose Earthquakes. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

San Jose Earthquakes

35%

Draws

24%

Colorado Rapids

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

San Jose Earthquakes average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Colorado Rapids's 1.17.
San Jose Earthquakes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 20%

Colorado Rapids Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	Colorado Rapids
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.79	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.62	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 MLS

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

1:1

May 21, 2026 US Open Cup

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:0

May 11, 2025 MLS

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

0:2

Mar 16, 2025 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado Rapids

1:2

May 12, 2024 MLS

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 49 / 100

Colorado Rapids 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes Colorado Rapids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Jose Earthquakes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Colorado Rapids has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Colorado Rapids

1.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History