Sport Picks

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA

Nashville SC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes host Nashville SC in the MLS. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Nashville SC have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.85. Past meetings favor San Jose Earthquakes slightly — 0-0-5 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.69) point toward Nashville SC. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

San Jose Earthquakes

35%

Draws

27%

Nashville SC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 13%

Nashville SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	Nashville SC
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	12	16
Draws	6	5
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.85	1.78
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 MLS

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes

1:1

Sep 24, 2023 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

1:1

Jun 12, 2022 MLS

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes

0:0

Apr 16, 2022 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

2:2

Jul 26, 2020 MLS

Nashville SC vs San Jose Earthquakes

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 31 / 100

Nashville SC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

San Jose Earthquakes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Nashville SC let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Nashville SC

1.38 Goals Scored 1.88

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History