Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes play Portland Timbers in the Club Friendly. San Jose Earthquakes are favorites here. Recently, San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Portland Timbers averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 4, Portland Timbers won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.38 for Portland Timbers. This points to a San Jose Earthquakes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
San Jose Earthquakes
17%
Draws
26%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • San Jose Earthquakes picked up more points recently compared to Portland Timbers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 17%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:3
Feb 11, 2026 Club Friendly
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
3:2
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
1:1
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
1:0
May 4, 2025 MLS
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adimabua N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Velde K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 55 / 100
Portland Timbers 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Jose Earthquakes Portland Timbers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Jose Earthquakes Win (1)
Secondary Pick San Jose Earthquakes & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Jose Earthquakes attacking → ← attacking Portland Timbers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Portland Timbers let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Portland Timbers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 31
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63