Sport Picks

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS PayPal Park, San Jose, CA

Real Salt Lake

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes host Real Salt Lake in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Real Salt Lake have shipped 1.52 goals a game lately, while San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 1.72 and scored 1.69. Past meetings favor Real Salt Lake slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 15, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward San Jose Earthquakes. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%

San Jose Earthquakes

35%

Draws

41%

Real Salt Lake

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Salt Lake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Real Salt Lake lately — more wins on the board than San Jose Earthquakes.
Real Salt Lake are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 20%

Real Salt Lake Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	Real Salt Lake
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	10	11
Draws	9	5
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	1.69	1.65
Goals Conceded	1.72	1.52
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2026 MLS

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes

1:1

Jul 27, 2025 MLS

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes

2:1

Feb 23, 2025 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

4:0

Feb 5, 2025 Club Friendly

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes

0:0

Oct 6, 2024 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 20 / 100

Real Salt Lake 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes Real Salt Lake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Salt Lake Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: San Jose Earthquakes scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Real Salt Lake conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: San Jose Earthquakes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Jose Earthquakes VS Real Salt Lake

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History