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Vancouver Whitecaps

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Jose Earthquakes play Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Vancouver Whitecaps averaged 2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 2, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.63 for Vancouver Whitecaps. This points to a Vancouver Whitecaps double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

San Jose Earthquakes

15%

Draws

43%

Vancouver Whitecaps

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vancouver Whitecaps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

San Jose Earthquakes picked up more points recently compared to Vancouver Whitecaps.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

San Jose Earthquakes Clean Sheet 14%

Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Earthquakes	Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	18
Draws	2	4
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.9	2
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Mar 22, 2026 MLS

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Oct 5, 2025 MLS

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

4:1

Aug 10, 2025 MLS

San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 15, 2024 MLS

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Jose Earthquakes Compare

Top Goalscorer Judd P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Vancouver Whitecaps Compare

Top Goalscorer Berhalter S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Earthquakes 41 / 100

Vancouver Whitecaps 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Earthquakes Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Jose Earthquakes attacking → ← attacking Vancouver Whitecaps

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Jose Earthquakes scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

San Jose Earthquakes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vancouver Whitecaps lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 58

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	14	10	2	2	34:12	32
2	San Jose Earthquakes	15	10	2	3	34:15	32
3	Real Salt Lake	14	8	2	4	26:19	26
4	FC Dallas	15	7	4	4	30:22	25
5	Los Angeles FC	15	7	3	5	24:17	24
6	Seattle Sounders	13	7	3	3	17:11	24
7	Houston Dynamo	14	7	1	6	19:23	22
8	Minnesota United	15	6	4	5	18:22	22
9	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	5	5	5	22:22	20
10	San Diego FC	15	4	5	6	30:27	17
11	Colorado Rapids	15	5	1	9	25:24	16
12	St. Louis City	14	4	4	6	16:20	16
13	Portland Timbers	14	4	2	8	22:28	14
14	Austin FC	15	3	5	7	19:31	14
15	Sporting Kansas City	14	3	2	9	14:36	11

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	10	3	1	31:11	33
2	Inter Miami	15	9	4	2	39:28	31
3	Chicago Fire	14	8	2	4	27:16	26
4	New England Revolution	14	8	1	5	22:18	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	6	4	5	25:32	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	6	3	6	24:23	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	5	5	5	36:37	20
8	New York City	15	5	4	6	25:21	19
9	DC United	15	4	6	5	21:25	18
10	Columbus Crew	15	4	4	7	21:23	16
11	CF Montreal	14	4	2	8	22:31	14
12	Orlando City	15	4	2	9	23:44	14
13	Toronto FC	14	3	5	6	22:29	14
14	Atlanta United	14	3	2	9	14:23	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	1	4	10	18:30	7