Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016

San Jose Obrero

2 - 1

Toledo 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 game between San Jose Obrero and Toledo 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Jose Obrero.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

San Jose Obrero

44%

Draws

20%

Toledo 2

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Toledo 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

San Jose Obrero Clean Sheet 19%

Toledo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Jose Obrero	Toledo 2
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	6	9
Draws	6	6
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

San Jose Obrero vs Toledo 2

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Sep 27, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Toledo 2 vs San Jose Obrero

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Jose Obrero 36 / 100

Toledo 2 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Jose Obrero Toledo 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Toledo 2 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

San Jose Obrero found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Toledo 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Toledo 2

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 2

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Conquense	38	24	4	10	54:26	76
2	Almagro	38	22	10	6	64:33	76
3	Azuqueca	38	20	10	8	58:31	70
4	UD Almansa	38	17	15	6	54:35	66
5	Quintanar del Rey	38	17	11	10	38:29	62
6	Madridejos	38	16	12	10	47:45	60
7	Illescas	38	16	10	12	50:47	58
8	Villarrobledo	38	15	9	14	44:38	54
9	Marchamalo	38	14	10	14	51:53	52
10	Manchego Ciudad Real	38	14	9	15	41:36	51
11	Toledo 2	38	14	9	15	50:48	51
12	Villarrubia	38	12	12	14	34:34	48
13	CD Pedroneras	38	12	12	14	36:42	48
14	Albacete B	38	10	16	12	47:51	46
15	Mora CF	38	13	7	18	43:48	46
16	Manzanares	38	11	12	15	39:43	45
17	Atletico Ibanes	38	9	15	14	29:42	42
18	La Gineta	38	8	8	22	41:61	32
19	San Jose Obrero	38	7	10	21	37:70	31
20	Munera CF	38	5	7	26	28:73	22