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San Juan Atletico de Montcada vs UE Tona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cao T.
9' Event
Diawara M.
29' Event
Alcover A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between San Juan Atletico de Montcada and UE Tona finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Juan Atletico de Montcada.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
15%
Draws
24%
UE Tona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Juan Atletico de Montcada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • San Juan Atletico de Montcada haven't matched UE Tona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Juan Atletico de Montcada's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Juan Atletico de Montcada Clean Sheet 68%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Juan Atletico de Montcada UE Tona
Matches Played 4 27
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 11
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
San Juan Atletico de Montcada vs UE Tona
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Juan Atletico de Montcada Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cao T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Juan Atletico de Montcada 59 / 100
UE Tona 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Juan Atletico de Montcada UE Tona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Juan Atletico de Montcada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Juan Atletico de Montcada's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Defensive concern: UE Tona conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UE Tona's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

San Juan Atletico de Montcada VS UE Tona
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 38%
80% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Juan Atletico de Montcada

(Home)
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
20 Sept
San Cristobal CP
2 : 1
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
12 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
06 Sept
Montanesa
3 : 0
San Juan Atletico de Montcada

UE Tona

(Away)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
26 Sept
San Juan Atletico de Montcada
2 : 1
UE Tona
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 CE Atletic Lleida 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
6 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
8 FC Lescala 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
9 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
10 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
11 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
12 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
13 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
14 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 Vilassar de Mar 6 1 1 4 5:15 4
18 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)