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San Juan vs Marin

USA USA

USL League Two
Mon, Jul 13, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Juan play Marin in the USL League Two. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Juan averaged 2 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Marin averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.85 conceded. In past meetings, San Juan won 2, Marin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 25, 2026 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for San Juan and 2.75 for Marin. This points to a San Juan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
San Juan
20%
Draws
27%
Marin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Juan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • San Juan picked up more points recently compared to Marin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
San Juan Clean Sheet 10%
Marin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Juan Marin
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Marin vs San Juan
3:3
Jun 19, 2025 USL League Two
Marin vs San Juan
1:5
May 19, 2025 USL League Two
San Juan vs Marin
9:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Juan 50 / 100
Marin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Juan Marin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Juan Win (1)
Secondary Pick San Juan & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Juan attacking → ← attacking Marin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Juan scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Marin let in goals in 100% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 7.67 goals.

San Juan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Marin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 22
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63