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San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo 2 host Sarmiento Junin 2 in the Reserve League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sarmiento Junin 2 have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while San Lorenzo 2 have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.14. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo 2 have won 4 to Sarmiento Junin 2's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.06, favoring San Lorenzo 2. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
San Lorenzo 2
15%
Draws
34%
Sarmiento Junin 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Lorenzo 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Lorenzo 2 lately — more wins on the board than Sarmiento Junin 2.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • San Lorenzo 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
San Lorenzo 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Sarmiento Junin 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo 2 Sarmiento Junin 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
1:2
Oct 28, 2025 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
5:2
May 29, 2025 Reserve League
Sarmiento Junin 2 vs San Lorenzo 2
3:2
Oct 19, 2023 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
6:0
Feb 17, 2023 Reserve League
San Lorenzo 2 vs Sarmiento Junin 2
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 2 32 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo 2 Sarmiento Junin 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

San Lorenzo 2 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sarmiento Junin 2 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sarmiento Junin 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo 2 VS Sarmiento Junin 2
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Argentinos Jrs 2
0 : 1
San Lorenzo 2
29 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
3 : 2
Aldosivi 2
22 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 2
Huracan 2
16 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
San Lorenzo 2
09 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
0 : 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
River Plate 2
1 : 0
Sarmiento Junin 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
15 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Racing Club 2
09 Sept
Instituto 2
2 : 2
Sarmiento Junin 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)