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San Lorenzo vs 3 de Febrero

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ayala V.
(Penalty)
90'
Gonzalez E.
90'
Gonzalez E.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2024 game between San Lorenzo and 3 de Febrero finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Lorenzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
San Lorenzo
33%
Draws
27%
3 de Febrero
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans San Lorenzo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and San Lorenzo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
3 de Febrero Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo 3 de Febrero
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Division Intermedia
3 de Febrero vs San Lorenzo
2:3
Jun 30, 2024 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 3 de Febrero
1:0
Aug 23, 2023 Division Intermedia
3 de Febrero vs San Lorenzo
0:2
May 18, 2023 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs 3 de Febrero
1:0
Aug 19, 2022 Division Intermedia
3 de Febrero vs San Lorenzo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 50 / 100
3 de Febrero 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo 3 de Febrero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

3 de Febrero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: San Lorenzo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta30198357:2065
2Atletico Tembetary30195646:2462
3Sportivo Carapegua30177645:2758
4San Lorenzo301210835:3146
5Resistencia301361135:3545
6Encarnacion FC301281043:3944
7Deportivo Santani301191035:3342
8Rubio Nu301191033:3542
9Guairena FC301011930:2538
1012 de Junio301081235:3538
11Independiente FBC301081233:3738
12Martin Ledesma308121028:3536
13Fernando de la Mora308111131:3335
143 de Febrero306111324:3729
15Pastoreo30651928:5023
16Colegiales30242428:7010