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San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pereyra E.
Assist: Botta R.
45' Event
Gutierrez J.
Assist: Martinez D.
46'
Sub
De Ritis M. In: Rodriguez Pagano T.
Out: De Ritis M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between San Lorenzo and Defensa y Justicia finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Defensa y Justicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Lorenzo
6%
Draws
4%
Defensa y Justicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Defensa y Justicia come out ahead of San Lorenzo on wins alone.
  • Model gives San Lorenzo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Defensa y Justicia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 14 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia
2:5
Sep 22, 2024 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Nov 24, 2023 Copa Argentina
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Nov 12, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gutierrez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 95 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Defensa y Justicia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Defensa y Justicia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

San Lorenzo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensa y Justicia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Defensa y Justicia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.57
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.43
50% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 71%
0% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245