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San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo host Deportivo Riestra in the Liga Profesional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. San Lorenzo have averaged 0.86 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Deportivo Riestra's 0.67 scored and 1.03 conceded. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo have won 1 to Deportivo Riestra's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.81 - 0.88) back San Lorenzo to edge this. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
San Lorenzo
35%
Draws
28%
Deportivo Riestra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Lorenzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Lorenzo lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Riestra.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on San Lorenzo taking it.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Deportivo Riestra
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 14
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Copa Argentina
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:2
Mar 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra
1:0
Apr 20, 2025 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
0:0
May 12, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs San Lorenzo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 46 / 100
Deportivo Riestra 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Deportivo Riestra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Deportivo Riestra conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Deportivo Riestra
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
03 Oct
Defensa y Justicia
3 : 0
San Lorenzo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2
Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1
San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Riestra

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)