Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo 
Match Events
13'
13'
Meza Montiel D.
55'
55'
Sub
Martinez L. In: Gomez G.
Out: Martinez L.
61'
61'
Sub
Tanda P. In: Manzur A.
Out: Tanda P.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Guarani have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- Model gives Guarani a 52% chance of winning this.
- Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.59 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
1:0
Feb 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Nov 16, 2020 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Aug 9, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Guarani
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguero M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Guarani Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 11 / 100
Guarani 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Guarani
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
