Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Libertad Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. San Lorenzo have averaged 0.66 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Libertad Asuncion's 1.39 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo have won 0 to Libertad Asuncion's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.50) back Libertad Asuncion to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Libertad Asuncion have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- Model gives San Lorenzo a 36% chance of winning this.
- Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Libertad Asuncion have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Libertad Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Libertad Asuncion conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: San Lorenzo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
San Lorenzo found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home)Libertad Asuncion
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:8 | 26 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 6 | Guarani | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 16:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 13 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:27 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
