Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo play Olimpia Asuncion in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Lorenzo averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Olimpia Asuncion averaged 1.69 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, San Lorenzo won 2, Olimpia Asuncion won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for San Lorenzo and 1.50 for Olimpia Asuncion. This points to a Olimpia Asuncion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
San Lorenzo
29%
Draws
47%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo picked up more points recently compared to Olimpia Asuncion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 19, 2023 Copa Paraguay
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Nov 1, 2020 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Aug 17, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 25 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Olimpia Asuncion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Olimpia Asuncion or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Lorenzo attacking → ← attacking Olimpia Asuncion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Olimpia Asuncion let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Asuncion lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 69
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115