Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción 
Match Events
33'
33'
Vera J.
Assist: Rodriguez Armoa A. F.
39'
39'
Ortiz R.
45'
45'
Benitez A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
- Win probability leans Olimpia Asuncion's way, sitting at 90%.
- Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 36 |
| Wins | 4 | 22 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.54 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:3
May 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Jul 19, 2023 Copa Paraguay
San Lorenzo vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:0
Nov 1, 2020 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Vera J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Avalos G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 10 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Olimpia Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Olimpia Asuncion conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: San Lorenzo scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Olimpia Asuncion
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
09 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
30 Jul
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Asuncion
(Away) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Cristobal Colon FC
3 : 5 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Aug
Vasco
0 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 22 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 17 |
| 6 | Guarani | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:24 | 7 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
