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San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: San Lorenzo at 0.83 goals for, 1.63 against; Rubio Nu at 1 for, 1.64 against. Head-to-head, San Lorenzo have won 0 to Rubio Nu's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Rubio Nu to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
San Lorenzo
15%
Draws
46%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rubio Nu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Rubio Nu at 1 per game, San Lorenzo at 0.83.
  • San Lorenzo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Rubio Nu, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rubio Nu have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 16%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo Rubio Nu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Feb 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Apr 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Rubio Nu
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 41 / 100
Rubio Nu 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rubio Nu conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

San Lorenzo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

San Lorenzo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Rubio Nu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)
03 Nov
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 2
San Lorenzo
31 Oct
San Lorenzo
2 : 1
Libertad Asuncion
25 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 3
Cerro Porteno
18 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
14 Oct
Cerro Porteno
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Rubio Nu

(Away)
30 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 4
Rubio Nu
23 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 2
Guarani
16 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
11 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 18 12 3 3 34:13 39
2 Nacional Asuncion 18 9 5 4 26:11 32
3 Guarani 18 8 7 3 20:14 31
4 Sportivo Trinidense 18 9 4 5 28:18 31
5 Libertad Asuncion 18 9 3 6 25:20 30
6 2 de Mayo 18 8 6 4 18:18 30
7 Cerro Porteno 18 8 3 7 24:19 27
8 Sportivo Ameliano 18 4 7 7 19:25 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 17 5 1 11 17:33 16
10 Rubio Nu 17 4 4 9 19:29 16
11 Recoleta 18 4 3 11 20:32 15
12 San Lorenzo 18 2 4 12 12:30 10
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