Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires

San Lorenzo

1 - 1

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Cuello A.

Assist: Gulli F.

33'

Gabriel Barbosa

Assist: Rollheiser B.

46'

Sub

Willian Arao In: Joao Schmidt

Out: Willian Arao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

San Lorenzo

30%

Draws

43%

Santos

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence

San Lorenzo haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 46%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 27%

Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Lorenzo	Santos
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	9	14
Draws	13	8
Losses	10	6
Goals Scored	0.91	1.61
Goals Conceded	0.84	1.04
Expected Goals (xG)	0.66	0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:1

Apr 14, 2021 Copa Libertadores

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:3

Oct 11, 2006 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.51

Avg xA / game 0.33

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.65

Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 38 / 100

Santos 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Lorenzo Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Santos

0.43 Goals Scored 0.88

0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88

29% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)

13 Sept

Independiente

1 : 1

San Lorenzo

05 Sept

San Lorenzo

1 : 0

Talleres Cordoba

01 Sept

Instituto

1 : 0

San Lorenzo

21 Aug

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto

0 : 0

San Lorenzo

15 Aug

San Lorenzo

1 : 0

Union de Santa Fe

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Santos

(Away)

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

09 Sept

Santos

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

06 Sept

Internacional

2 : 3

Santos

03 Sept

Santos

0 : 0

Palmeiras

30 Aug

Corinthians

0 : 1

Santos

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