Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Pedro Bidegain, Buenos Aires

San Lorenzo

1 - 1

Santos

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Cuello A.

Assist: Gulli F.

33'

Gabriel Barbosa

Assist: Rollheiser B.

46'

Sub

Willian Arao In: Joao Schmidt

Out: Willian Arao

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

San Lorenzo

22%

Draws

60%

Santos

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

San Lorenzo haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Santos's way, sitting at 60%.
Santos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 15%

Santos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Lorenzo	Santos
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	7	9
Draws	13	10
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	0.86	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.43	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.86	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:1

Apr 14, 2021 Copa Libertadores

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:3

Oct 11, 2006 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuello A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.66

Avg xA / game 0.43

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo 19 / 100

Santos 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Lorenzo Santos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Santos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

San Lorenzo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Lorenzo VS Santos

0.86 Goals Scored 1.63

1.43 Goals Conceded 1.25

57% Over 1.5 100%

57% Over 2.5 50%

29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Lorenzo

(Home)

17 Jul

San Lorenzo

1 : 2

Deportivo Riestra

27 May

San Lorenzo

0 : 1

Recoleta

20 May

Santos

2 : 2

San Lorenzo

10 May

River Plate

3 : 2

San Lorenzo

06 May

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 0

San Lorenzo

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Santos

(Away)

16 Jul

Botafogo RJ

2 : 1

Santos

04 Jul

Santos

3 : 0

Uniao Sao Joao

30 May

Santos

3 : 1

Vitoria

27 May

Santos

3 : 0

Dep. Cuenca

23 May

Gremio

3 : 2

Santos

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