Sport Picks
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Gunther Vogel, San Lorenzo 
Match Events
32'
32'
Sub
Cespedes V. In: Martinez M.
Out: Cespedes V.
46'
46'
Sub
Zarza P. In: Baez Mendoza R.
Out: Zarza P.
46'
46'
Sub
Villamayor H. In: Gonzalez H.
Out: Villamayor H.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportivo Trinidense lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Sportivo Trinidense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 13%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Lorenzo | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 4, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
3:0
Oct 18, 2021 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Barrios J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Lorenzo 31 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Lorenzo Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: San Lorenzo scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Sportivo Trinidense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: San Lorenzo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Lorenzo VS Sportivo Trinidense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
San Lorenzo
(Home) 25 Jul
Recoleta
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Rubio Nu
10 Apr
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Guarani
31 Mar
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
24 Jul
Cerro Porteno
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
