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San Lorenzo W vs Boca Juniors W

Argentina Argentina

Primera A Women Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Lorenzo W play Boca Juniors W in the Primera A Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Lorenzo W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.59 conceded. Boca Juniors W averaged 1 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, San Lorenzo W won 2, Boca Juniors W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for San Lorenzo W and 0.56 for Boca Juniors W. This points to a San Lorenzo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
San Lorenzo W
23%
Draws
34%
Boca Juniors W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: San Lorenzo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • San Lorenzo W picked up more points recently compared to Boca Juniors W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet 30%
Boca Juniors W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Lorenzo W Boca Juniors W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 0.59 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Boca Juniors W
1:1
Mar 4, 2025 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Boca Juniors W
4:3
Nov 2, 2024 Primera A Women
San Lorenzo W vs Boca Juniors W
3:1
Jun 15, 2024 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs San Lorenzo W
4:0
May 27, 2023 Primera A Women
Boca Juniors W vs San Lorenzo W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Lorenzo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Boca Juniors W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Lorenzo W 45 / 100
Boca Juniors W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Lorenzo W Boca Juniors W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Lorenzo W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Lorenzo W attacking → ← attacking Boca Juniors W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Lorenzo W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Boca Juniors W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

San Lorenzo W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Boca Juniors W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 46
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38