Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luca vs Igea Virtus

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Romero A.
45' Event
Pelle A.
90' Event
Krusnauskas R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between San Luca and Igea Virtus finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Luca
15%
Draws
49%
Igea Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Igea Virtus come out ahead of San Luca on wins alone.
  • San Luca are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
San Luca Clean Sheet 17%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luca Igea Virtus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Igea Virtus
3:0
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs San Luca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pelle A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Igea Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luca 41 / 100
Igea Virtus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luca Igea Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Igea Virtus conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Igea Virtus registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Igea Virtus
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luca

(Home)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
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Igea Virtus

(Away)
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
USD Ragusa
1 : 0
Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)