Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luca vs Roccella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

San Luca in this Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Luca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
San Luca
15%
Draws
49%
Roccella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Roccella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • San Luca have won more games recently than Roccella.
  • Model gives San Luca a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
San Luca Clean Sheet 68%
Roccella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luca Roccella
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 5
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.33 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Roccella
1:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Roccella vs San Luca
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Roccella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luca 68 / 100
Roccella 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luca Roccella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Roccella has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: San Luca scored in 79% of their last 39 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Roccella has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Luca VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luca

(Home)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 8

Roccella

(Away)
03 Jul
FC Messina
7 : 1
Roccella
16 Jun
Roccella
1 : 1
Castrovillari
13 Jun
Gelbison
4 : 0
Roccella
30 May
Roccella
2 : 1
Biancavilla
23 May
Roccella
0 : 1
AS Acireale
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACR Messina 34 21 11 2 66:25 74
2 FC Messina 34 21 9 4 59:25 72
3 Gelbison 34 19 9 6 54:32 66
4 San Luca 34 17 7 10 46:38 58
5 AS Acireale 34 17 6 11 51:32 57
6 Dattilo 34 16 4 14 51:47 52
7 Rotonda 34 13 10 11 31:33 49
8 Santa Maria Cilento 34 10 15 9 43:29 45
9 Biancavilla 34 14 4 16 43:47 45
10 Licata 34 11 10 13 36:39 43
11 Castrovillari 34 10 11 13 39:37 41
12 Paterno 34 10 9 15 28:35 39
13 Cittanovese 34 10 9 15 42:51 39
14 S. Agata 34 8 12 14 32:48 36
15 Troina 34 9 9 16 27:47 36
16 Rende 34 9 7 18 38:58 34
17 Marina di Ragusa 34 8 9 17 38:58 33
18 Roccella 34 5 5 24 25:68 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2020/2021 (Play Offs)