Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luca vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Diarra A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between San Luca and Siracusa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
San Luca
20%
Draws
63%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Siracusa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Siracusa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
San Luca Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luca Siracusa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.14 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Siracusa
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs San Luca
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Siracusa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luca 10 / 100
Siracusa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luca Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siracusa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siracusa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: San Luca scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

San Luca went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luca

(Home)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

Siracusa

(Away)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Siracusa
4 : 2
Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)