Sport Picks
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota 
Match Events
24'
24'
Guerra Rojas M.
28'
28'
Munoz L.
30'
30'
Madrigal G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between San Luis and D. Puerto Montt finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Luis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Luis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives San Luis a 68% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
San Luis Clean Sheet 68%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Luis | D. Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
4:1
Aug 20, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Apr 15, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis
0:1
Sep 7, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
San Luis vs D. Puerto Montt
0:3
Apr 21, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs San Luis
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Luis Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Munoz Alister N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
D. Puerto Montt Compare
Top Goalscorer Vazquez L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Luis 95 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Luis D. Puerto Montt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Luis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
D. Puerto Montt let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: San Luis stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
San Luis VS D. Puerto Montt
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
San Luis
(Home) 15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2 Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1 San Luis
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
17 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 2 San Luis
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2 Cobreloa
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1 S. Wanderers
13 Aug
San Luis
1 : 1 Deportes Temuco
31 Jul
San Luis
1 : 1 Rangers
Page 1 of 4
D. Puerto Montt
(Away) 13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2 Rangers
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
22 Aug
D. Puerto Montt
0 : 4 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Magallanes
2 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
16 Aug
S. Wanderers
1 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
08 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0 D. Puerto Montt
02 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 1 D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
