Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

San Luis play U. Catolica in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, San Luis averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. U. Catolica averaged 2.24 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, San Luis won 2, U. Catolica won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for San Luis and 1.88 for U. Catolica. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

San Luis

27%

Draws

44%

U. Catolica

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

San Luis picked up more points recently compared to U. Catolica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%

San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

U. Catolica Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Luis	U. Catolica
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	8	22
Draws	14	5
Losses	7	7
Goals Scored	1.45	2.24
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.15
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

U. Catolica vs San Luis

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Apr 3, 2025 Copa Chile

U. Catolica vs San Luis

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

2:3

Feb 1, 2025 Copa Chile

San Luis vs U. Catolica

Possession: 40% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sep 22, 2018 Liga de Primera

U. Catolica vs San Luis

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Apr 29, 2018 Liga de Primera

San Luis vs U. Catolica

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 28 / 100

U. Catolica 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Luis U. Catolica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: U. Catolica or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

San Luis attacking → ← attacking U. Catolica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

U. Catolica let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

U. Catolica lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 71

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	5	2	3	0	7:3	9
2	Deportes Iquique	5	2	2	1	9:5	8
3	Limache	5	2	2	1	10:8	8
4	San Marcos de Arica	5	0	1	4	2:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	5	5	0	0	14:5	15
2	Everton	5	1	2	2	9:9	5
3	Copiapo	5	1	1	3	3:9	4
4	San Luis	5	0	3	2	7:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	5	4	1	0	11:5	13
2	La Serena	5	2	1	2	7:9	7
3	Cobreloa	5	1	2	2	6:6	5
4	Cobresal	5	0	2	3	2:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Chile	5	3	1	1	12:7	10
2	Union La Calera	5	2	2	1	9:6	8
3	San Felipe	5	2	1	2	6:7	7
4	S. Wanderers	5	1	0	4	7:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	4	3	0	1	10:6	9
2	O Higgins	5	2	2	1	10:7	8
3	Recoleta	4	1	1	2	3:6	4
4	U. Espanola	5	1	1	3	4:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	5	3	1	1	8:5	10
2	Curico Unido	5	2	2	1	7:6	8
3	Rangers	5	2	0	3	4:6	6
4	U. De Concepcion	5	1	1	3	7:9	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	5	4	1	0	9:3	13
2	A. Italiano	5	3	0	2	8:7	9
3	Palestino	5	2	1	2	9:7	7
4	Magallanes	5	0	0	5	5:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	5	3	1	1	8:4	10
2	D. Concepcion	4	2	1	1	6:6	7
3	Deportes Temuco	4	1	2	1	4:5	5
4	Huachipato	5	1	0	4	6:9	3