Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Luis vs U. Catolica

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Municipal Lucio Fariña Fernández, Quillota
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez D.
38'
Pino N.
45'
Sub
Rossel J. In: Corral D.
Out: Rossel J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
San Luis
15%
Draws
44%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • San Luis haven't matched U. Catolica's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor San Luis, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
San Luis Clean Sheet 20%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Luis U. Catolica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.69 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Copa Chile
San Luis vs U. Catolica
4:0
Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs San Luis
4:2
Apr 3, 2025 Copa Chile
U. Catolica vs San Luis
2:3
Feb 1, 2025 Copa Chile
San Luis vs U. Catolica
2:1
Sep 22, 2018 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs San Luis
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vergara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

U. Catolica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Luis 31 / 100
U. Catolica 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Luis U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Luis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Luis found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

San Luis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Luis VS U. Catolica
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

San Luis

(Home)
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1
Antofagasta
05 Sept
San Luis
4 : 2
Cobreloa
30 Aug
Deportes Iquique
0 : 1
San Luis
24 Aug
San Luis
0 : 1
S. Wanderers
17 Aug
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 2
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
26 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 2
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 O Higgins 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 Recoleta 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
4 U. Espanola 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)