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San Marcial vs Anguiano

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Cantero N.
89' Event
Cantero N.

AI Match Summary

San Marcial host Anguiano in the Tercera RFEF - Group 16. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: San Marcial at 1.75 goals for, 2.5 against; Anguiano at 1.5 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, San Marcial have won 1 to Anguiano's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.00 - 2.00) back Anguiano to edge this. Anguiano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
San Marcial
22%
Draws
60%
Anguiano
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Anguiano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Anguiano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Marcial.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Anguiano.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 16 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%
Anguiano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial Anguiano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Anguiano
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
0:1
Jan 21, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Anguiano
1:5
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
7:0
May 1, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Anguiano vs San Marcial
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcial Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Anguiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 18 / 100
Anguiano 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial Anguiano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ANG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcial scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Anguiano let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

San Marcial went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Anguiano lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS Anguiano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Logrones B34268099:2286
2Varea34227551:2573
3Arnedo34219472:2672
4CD Calahorra341712586:2663
5Oyonesa34187954:4161
6Anguiano34179849:3660
7Haro Deportivo341491154:4651
8Agoncillo341381359:4947
9Vianes341191439:5142
10Yague349131248:5240
11San Marcial341091539:5939
12Berceo341091542:5039
13CDFC La Calzada341081640:5538
14Comillas CF341151832:5838
15Pradejon34981730:4935
16Villegas34772036:6628
17Autol34462420:8018
18Pena Balsamaiso340112327:8611