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San Marcial vs Cenicero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

San Marcial host Cenicero in the Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011. San Marcial are expected to control this from the start. San Marcial have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Cenicero's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor San Marcial slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 5, 2011, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.25, favoring San Marcial. San Marcial in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
San Marcial
6%
Draws
4%
Cenicero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Marcial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marcial has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cenicero.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for San Marcial.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 16 2010/2011 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 19%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial Cenicero
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
0:0
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs San Marcial
2:0
Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs San Marcial
0:3
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
0:1
Feb 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Cenicero
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 85 / 100
Cenicero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial Cenicero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcial scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Cenicero let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

San Marcial went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cenicero lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Naxara38277475:2788
2SD Logrones38284680:2988
3Anguiano38248664:2680
4Haro Deportivo38246875:2478
5UD Logrones B382531074:2978
6Arnedo38239668:2678
7Alfaro382110773:3673
8Oyonesa382010872:4070
9CD Calahorra3816111155:3759
10River Ebro3815101347:4655
11Varea381581557:4253
12Calasancio388131731:4737
13Vianes381072151:6537
14Berceo38962333:5233
15San Marcial38882230:7132
16Agoncillo387112027:5232
17Pradejon38762527:7527
18Aldeano38803030:11124
19Cenicero38582529:8423
20AF Calahorra38552827:10620