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San Marcial vs Haro Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Zunzu
28' Event
Nalda Flores R.
54' Event
Nalda Flores R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between San Marcial and Haro Deportivo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
San Marcial
17%
Draws
70%
Haro Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Haro Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • San Marcial haven't matched Haro Deportivo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Haro Deportivo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 10%
Haro Deportivo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial Haro Deportivo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs San Marcial
0:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Haro Deportivo
2:1
Jan 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Haro Deportivo vs San Marcial
5:0
Sep 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Haro Deportivo
1:8
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Haro Deportivo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcial Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalda Flores R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Haro Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zunzu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 14 / 100
Haro Deportivo 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial Haro Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

San Marcial found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Haro Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

San Marcial went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS Haro Deportivo
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Logrones B34268099:2286
2Varea34227551:2573
3Arnedo34219472:2672
4CD Calahorra341712586:2663
5Oyonesa34187954:4161
6Anguiano34179849:3660
7Haro Deportivo341491154:4651
8Agoncillo341381359:4947
9Vianes341191439:5142
10Yague349131248:5240
11San Marcial341091539:5939
12Berceo341091542:5039
13CDFC La Calzada341081640:5538
14Comillas CF341151832:5838
15Pradejon34981730:4935
16Villegas34772036:6628
17Autol34462420:8018
18Pena Balsamaiso340112327:8611