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San Marcial vs River Ebro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Samaniego R.
51' Event
Lopez D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
San Marcial
35%
Draws
26%
River Ebro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • River Ebro have won more games recently than San Marcial.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on San Marcial taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 15%
River Ebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial River Ebro
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
1:1
Apr 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs San Marcial
5:1
Nov 20, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
0:1
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs River Ebro
1:0
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
River Ebro vs San Marcial
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcial Compare

Top Goalscorer Samaniego R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

River Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 84 / 100
River Ebro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial River Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcial found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

River Ebro has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

San Marcial has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS River Ebro
1.5 Goals Scored 0.83
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcial

(Home)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
27 Sept
Berceo
2 : 1
San Marcial
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
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River Ebro

(Away)
04 Oct
San Marcial
1 : 1
River Ebro
26 Sept
River Ebro
3 : 2
Cenicero
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
06 Sept
River Ebro
1 : 2
Comillas CF
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haro Deportivo 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Berceo 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 CDFC La Calzada 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
4 Alfaro 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
5 CD Calahorra 5 3 0 2 14:7 9
6 Agoncillo 5 2 2 1 12:8 8
7 Pradejon 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
8 Varea 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 San Marcial 5 1 3 1 4:4 6
10 Yague 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
11 Cenicero 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
12 Anguiano 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Oyonesa 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
14 Comillas CF 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
15 Calasancio 5 1 2 2 7:12 5
16 River Ebro 5 1 1 3 5:13 4
17 Casalarreina CF 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
18 Vianes 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)