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San Marcial vs Vianes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Hernando I.
89'
Duenas C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 game between San Marcial and Vianes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Marcial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
San Marcial
35%
Draws
26%
Vianes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Marcial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vianes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives San Marcial a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
San Marcial Clean Sheet 20%
Vianes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcial Vianes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs San Marcial
1:0
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
San Marcial vs Vianes
1:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs San Marcial
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcial Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernando I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Vianes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcial 85 / 100
Vianes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcial Vianes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcial Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

San Marcial scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Vianes let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

San Marcial went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcial VS Vianes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcial

(Home)
18 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 1
Comillas CF
13 Sept
Varea
0 : 0
San Marcial
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
San Marcial
0 : 2
Anguiano
03 May
Haro Deportivo
0 : 0
San Marcial
Page 1 of 6

Vianes

(Away)
20 Sept
CDFC La Calzada
3 : 2
Vianes
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDFC La Calzada 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Haro Deportivo 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
3 Berceo 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
4 CD Calahorra 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
5 Anguiano 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Comillas CF 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
7 Cenicero 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
8 San Marcial 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
9 Alfaro 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Pradejon 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Varea 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
12 Yague 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
13 Oyonesa 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 Casalarreina CF 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
15 Calasancio 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
16 Agoncillo 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
17 Vianes 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
18 River Ebro 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 (Play Offs)