Sport Picks

Stadium Background

San Marcos de Arica vs Limache

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Carlos Dittborn
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rivera N.
6' Event
Montecinos J.
18' Event
Maidana A.

AI Match Summary

San Marcos de Arica host Limache in the Copa Chile. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. San Marcos de Arica have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Limache's 1.38 scored and 2.25 conceded. Head-to-head, San Marcos de Arica have won 1 to Limache's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Limache to edge this. Limache in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
San Marcos de Arica
40%
Draws
29%
Limache
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • San Marcos de Arica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Limache.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Chile provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 20%
Limache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Marcos de Arica Limache
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Copa Chile
Limache vs San Marcos de Arica
4:1
Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile
San Marcos de Arica vs Limache
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Limache
0:2
May 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Limache vs San Marcos de Arica
1:3
Sep 25, 2022 Segunda Division
Limache vs San Marcos de Arica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Top Goalscorer Maidana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Montecinos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos de Arica 32 / 100
Limache 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Marcos de Arica Limache

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos de Arica scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Limache let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

San Marcos de Arica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Limache lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos de Arica VS Limache
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta541011:513
2La Serena52127:97
3Cobreloa51226:65
4Cobresal50232:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt53118:410
2D. Concepcion53118:610
3Deportes Temuco51224:75
4Huachipato51046:93