Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
5'
5'
Rivera J.
45'
45'
Melivilu Fuentes C.
56'
56'
Sub
Sarria G. In: Lopez L.
Out: Sarria G.
AI Match Summary
San Marcos de Arica in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Marcos de Arica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to San Marcos de Arica lately — more wins on the board than Curico Unido.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | Curico Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido
3:0
May 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Marcos de Arica
5:3
Feb 25, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido
1:2
Aug 1, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs Curico Unido
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Top Goalscorer Melivilu Fuentes C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Reyes G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Curico Unido Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 41 / 100
Curico Unido 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica Curico Unido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
San Marcos de Arica's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Curico Unido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: San Marcos de Arica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS Curico Unido
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
Curico Unido
(Away) 03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4 D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1 U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0 Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0 Curico Unido
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
05 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0 Curico Unido
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
