Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica

San Marcos de Arica

1 - 3

Limache

Our Tip

Match Events

Rivera N.

Montecinos J.

18'

Maidana A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Limache in this Copa Chile tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

San Marcos de Arica

40%

Draws

29%

Limache

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

San Marcos de Arica have won more games recently than Limache.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
San Marcos de Arica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Limache, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Limache have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 16%

Limache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Limache
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	8
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.63	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Copa Chile

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

4:1

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Limache

1:3

Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso

San Marcos de Arica vs Limache

0:2

May 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

1:3

Sep 25, 2022 Segunda Division

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Top Goalscorer Maidana A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Montecinos J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Alvarez V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Marcos de Arica 31 / 100

Limache 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

San Marcos de Arica Limache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Limache conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

San Marcos de Arica found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Away concern: Limache has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

San Marcos de Arica VS Limache

0.88 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

San Marcos de Arica

(Home)

06 Jul

Limache

4 : 1

San Marcos de Arica

27 Jun

San Marcos de Arica

0 : 1

Coquimbo

20 Jun

San Marcos de Arica

1 : 3

Limache

06 Jun

San Luis

1 : 0

San Marcos de Arica

31 May

San Marcos de Arica

0 : 1

Deportes Temuco

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Limache

(Away)

06 Jul

Limache

4 : 1

San Marcos de Arica

01 Jul

Limache

1 : 1

Coquimbo

27 Jun

Limache

1 : 4

Deportes Iquique

23 Jun

Coquimbo

1 : 1

Limache

20 Jun

San Marcos de Arica

1 : 3

Limache

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