Sport Picks
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Carlos Dittborn, Arica 
Match Events
10'
10'
Sub
Riveros B. In: Brun N.
Out: Riveros B.
19'
19'
Rivera J.
46'
46'
Sub
Munoz P. In: Fontana A.
Out: Munoz P.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between San Marcos de Arica and San Felipe finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Felipe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
20%
15%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Marcos de Arica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- San Felipe haven't matched San Marcos de Arica's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans San Marcos de Arica's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | San Marcos de Arica | San Felipe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
0:1
Mar 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs San Marcos de Arica
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Marcos de Arica vs San Felipe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
San Marcos de Arica Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
San Felipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
San Marcos de Arica 95 / 100
San Felipe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
San Marcos de Arica San Felipe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marcos de Arica scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: San Felipe conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: San Marcos de Arica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
San Marcos de Arica VS San Felipe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
San Marcos de Arica
(Home) 03 Oct
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 : 2 San Marcos de Arica
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1 San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
01 Sept
Cobreloa
2 : 0 San Marcos de Arica
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0 Curico Unido
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
22 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 2 Rangers
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
1 : 1 Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 3
San Felipe
(Away) 04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2 Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1 San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4 Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0 Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0 San Felipe
23 Aug
Curico Unido
2 : 0 San Felipe
13 Aug
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1 San Felipe
01 Aug
Antofagasta
5 : 1 San Felipe
25 Jul
S. Wanderers
2 : 0 San Felipe
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 44:27 | 48 |
| 2 | San Luis | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 41:29 | 47 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 4 | S. Wanderers | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:30 | 44 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 44:26 | 41 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 41 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:24 | 39 |
| 8 | Copiapo | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:39 | 37 |
| 9 | U. Espanola | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 11 | D. Puerto Montt | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 26:34 | 34 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 31 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:40 | 27 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 28:42 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 16:44 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
